*4 Star MLB Run Line ROUT* The Baltimore Orioles have played some really bad baseball in recent weeks. It's hard to expect things to go any better on Sunday for them as they have Chris Tillman on the mound up again a fantastic Toronto Blue Jays offense. To say that Tillman has been bad against the Blue Jays is a big understatement. In 18 career starts, he has a 5.68 ERA. He has faced them four times this year, and he has a whopping 15.00 ERA in those four starts. Marco Estrada has been a nice surprise for Toronto and I think he'll get the run support he needs. Take Toronto -1.5.

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Cincinnati Reds and Milwaukee Brewers have had some really high scoring games this year. These are two teams with questionable rotations and bullpens that are taxed right now. The ball is really flying well at Great American Ballpark with a temperature around 90 degrees in Cincinnati. We have a favorable umpire for this one and two pitchers with plenty of blowup potential. I was surprised to be able to get this price in this matchup.

The over is 7-0-1 in the Brewers last 8 road games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more last game. The over is 4-0-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a righty. The over is 7-0-2 in their last 9 following a win. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 vs. the NL Central. The over is 5-0-1 in their last 6 road games with a total of 7 to 8.5. The over is 4-0-1 in Jimmy Nelson's last 5 starts vs. the NL Central. The over is 8-0 in the Reds last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 4-0 in the Reds last 4 following a loss. A 52-0 angle. Take the over.

*5 Star MLB TOP Play of the Week* The Washington Nationals have finally started playing much better baseball. It may be too late in the end, but they are only 5 games back of the Mets and much stranger things have happened. Atlanta is playing awful baseball right now. I was low on them to start the year and they surprised me by hovering around .500. Now they have completely tanked and they appear to have packed it in for the season. Atlanta has now lost 11 straight games, and they are 12-40 in their last 52 games. In their 11 game losing streak, they have lost all 11 games by at least two runs! Joe Ross is a good prospect who has been sharp at home this year. Take Washington -1.5 big! MLB TOP Play of the Week

*4 Star MLB Major MISMATCH* The Houston Astros have been a terrific bet with Dallas Keuchel on the mound at home this year. Keuchel is absolutely dominating hitters at home, and this Twins offense doesn't typically step up against the top pitchers in baseball. Duffey is a decent prospect, but he has been shaky away from home, and Houston is a great team at home this year. At essentially even money, I like the run line. Take Houston -1.5.

*3 Star MLB Sunday Night Baseball CASH* The St. Louis Cardinals have been a terrific under team all year. St. Louis has a great starting staff and a very good bullpen. John Lackey is very underrated at this stage of his career. He has been lights out when pitching at Busch Stadium. Pittsburgh's Gerrit Cole is a pitcher I really like, and he's facing a Cardinals lineup that is without several of their best hitters. I see this one as a 2-1 or 3-2 type of pitching duel. Take the under in this Sunday night contest.

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Kansas City Royals have the second best team batting average in baseball. The Detroit Tigers have the best team batting average in baseball. Two of the best offenses do battle in Kansas City on Wednesday night. Randy Wolf starts for the Tigers and I really don't know how he made it back to the big leagues. Wolf wasn't any good in the majors a couple years ago, but the Tigers badly needed a started and have given him a shot. Wolf has been pretty good in his first couple starts, but I don't think that continues. Yordano Ventura has been good lately, but he has a career 4.56 ERA against Detroit. Herrera is out for KC right now and that makes their bullpen a little less dominant. The Tigers bullpen isn't any good. Too low of a number. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The St. Louis Cardinals have been the best team in baseball throughout the course of the year. I continue to be surprised at the little respect they receive from the oddsmakers. St. Louis is definitely beat up right now with several key players out with injuries, but they keep finding ways to come back and win games like they have against Washington in the first two of this series. Max Scherzer has given up at least 3 runs in his last 5 starts. Michael Wacha is lights out at home. The Cardinals have the bullpen edge, and they are a whopping 48-19 at home this year. At this price, I'll gladly take the home team.

The Nationals are 0-4 in Scherzer's last 4 starts. They are 0-4 in their last 4 games with a total of 6.5 or lower. They are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. a starter with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. They are 0-6 in their last 6 road games with a total of 6.5 or lower. They are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home win percentage of 60% or higher. The Cardinals are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 3 of a series. They are 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. They are 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more last game. They are 4-0 in their last 4 Wednesday games. They are 6-0 in Wacha's last 6 home starts with a total of 6.5 or lower. They are 5-0 in his last 5 starts as a favorite. They are 4-0 in his last 4 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. A 53-0 angle. Take St. Louis.

*3 Star MLB Late Night BAILOUT* The Los Angeles Dodgers have taken the first two games of this series, and in last night's game we did see the pitching duel I expected. I took the under in that one, and I'm taking the under again here. Mike Leake certainly isn't the pitcher Madison Bumgarner is, but Leake is a solid guy who will be facing a Dodgers lineup that is less than 100 percent. The San Francisco Giants lineup is way less than 100 percent healthy. San Francisco really misses Hunter Pence and Joe Panik, and Brandon Crawford is questionable for this game as well. Clayton Kershaw is nothing short of awesome. Kershaw has allowed more than one run in only one of his last ten starts. That's a ridiculous run, and the under is 20-5-2 in his last 27 starts vs. the Giants. Muchlinksi is behind the plate here and he's a solid under umpire.

The under is 3-0-2 in the Giants last 5 Wednesday games. The under is 5-0 in the Dodgers last 5 games with a total of 6.5 or lower. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 following a win. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after their opponent allows 2 runs or less. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 as a home favorite of -201 or higher. The under is 7-0 in Kershaw's last 7 starts on 4 days of rest. The under is 5-0 in his last 5 home starts. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 home starts as a favorite of -201 or higher. The under is 5-0 in his last 5 home starts with a total of 6.5 or lower. A 43-0 angle. Take the under.

*3 Star Play Opening Night KNOCKOUT* The FIU Golden Panthers improved a lot last year. Sure, they were only 4-8, but they went 1-11 in the previous year. Ron Turner is known as a good defensive mind, and FIU was much better defensively last year. They allowed 24.8 points per game vs. allowing 37 points per game the previous year. FIU's offense isn't very good, and they rely very heavily on being able to run the ball. While UCF has all sorts of question marks on the offensive side of the ball, their defense will be very good again this year. With UCF and FIU both running the ball a lot, the clock should tick away quickly. Take the under in this one.

*3 Star MLB Play of Day* The Washington Nationals come home to play the lowly Atlanta Braves on Thursday night. Atlanta was a team I was low on coming into the year. The Braves somehow held their own and were a .500 team for a long time. Now, the bottom has fallen out. The Braves are 14-38 in their last 52 games. Atlanta comes into this game having lost eight games in a row. In those eight games, the Braves have lost by a a combined 48 runs. All 8 of those games they have lost by at least two runs. This team is playing the worst baseball in the majors. Washington's Jordan Zimmermann has a great 2.59 ERA against the Braves in his career. Matt Wisler has a 6.52 ERA on the road this season. Take Washington -1.5.

*3 Star MLB Play of Day* The Boston Red Sox offense has been amazing in the past 30 days. They rank 3rd in on base percentage during the past month. Joe Kelly was really bad for a long time this year, but he has turned things around a lot in recent outings. Kelly has allowed 2 runs or less in each of his last five starts. Philadelphia's offense has been much better against lefties than righties this year. On the other hand, Boston has torched left handed pitching in the past month. Only Toronto has better numbers against lefties during that time. Adam Morgan has poor peripherals and he never dominated in the minors. Boston's offense should do quite a bit of damage against Morgan in this one. The Red Sox are 6-0 in Kelly's last 6 starts. I like the Red Sox to win comfortably. Take Boston -1.5.

*3 Star CFB Auburn/Louisville Totals CRUSHER* The Auburn Tigers defense is going to be much better under the leadership of Will Muschamp this year. Muschamp might not have worked out well as a head coach, but he's proven he is a great defensive mind. Louisville's defense will be much stronger than it was a year ago. Devante Fields is now a Cardinal and he immediately becomes the team's best player (he was the Big 12 Defensive Player of the Year at TCU). Louisville likely slows this game down a bit too, because I doubt they want a shootout with Auburn. The Tigers offense will be good in the long run, but it should take some time to get things squared away with new guys at the skill positions. Take the under.

*3 Star CFB Totals TKO* The Old Dominion Monarchs lost their star quarterback, and they are undergoing some big changes this year. Old Dominion's coach has gone on the record to say they will be slowing the pace down bigtime this year. In the past, ODU has been an uptempo offenses that gets as many possessions as possible. Eastern Michigan's defense isn't good, but ODU is working in a new starter at QB, and they'll look to eat up the play clock every time. ODU's defense was terrible last year, but I expect them to be much better this year and Eastern Michigan's offense is really bad. The slower tempo and new skill position players on offense should keep this one lower scoring than expected. Take the under.

*3 Star NCAA FB Free Pick* The Temple Owls return 10 starters on the defensive side of the ball this year. Temple only allowed 17.5 points per game last year, and this year's unit looks even better. Penn State has problems on the offensive line, and Temple should be able to expose those problems. Temple's offense averaged only 3.5 yards per carry last year, and Penn State is very strong along the defensive front. I believe both defenses have a strong edge in the trenches. That should make it tough for either quarterback to have time to throw, and I don't see much success from either team running the football here. The total has moved up during the week, which makes me like the value on this number. Take the under.

*RED HOT 6-1 run in my last 7 plays! 57% All-Time on college football totals. Saturday's 5 for $55 ENTIRE Card has four totals plays on it and one ATS play. Save big with this All Access Package this weekend! Also, the NCAA Football Season Pass is DISCOUNTED through this weekend.*

*3 Star NCAA FB ATS Play of Week* The Tennessee Volunteers are definitely a much improved team. Tennessee returns a bunch of talent from last year, and they are going to do well this season. Still, Bowling Green is no pushover. The Falcons return 10 starters on offense and star quarterback Matt Johnson is back for his senior season after being injured last year. Bowling Green plays fast and they can score in bunches. Tennessee has a chance at getting revenge against Oklahoma next week, so this is definitely a look ahead spot for the Volunteers. Bowling Green's offensive abilities mean that the backdoor cover could certainly be achieved even if this game isn't particularly close. This game isn't in Knoxville either, so not as big of a home field advantage for Tennessee. Too many points. Take Bowling Green.

*4 Star NCAA FB Under Radar Total* The Oklahoma Sooners have changed their system in the offseason. No more traditional looks on offense for them. Oklahoma is now going to run the Air Raid offense and hurry to the line. Baker Mayfield should be a great fit since he has experience in the Air Raid from Texas Tech. Akron's defense will do well against MAC opponents, but they'll be overmatched by Oklahoma's skill here. The Sooners should be able to put up a big score. Akron's offense should be much improved this year, and with the amount of chances I expect them to get and the fact that this score should be pretty lopsided, I think Akron puts up plenty to get us past this total. Take the over.

5 star top play- full writeup coming soon

*4 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Texas Rangers are good against right handed pitching and Jered Weaver isn't even close to the pitcher he used to be. Weaver is out there throwing 83 mph fastballs on a consistent basis, and it's tough to get big league hitters out doing that unless you are spotting the ball perfectly every single time. Texas' offense has been hot of late, and I see them getting several in this one. The Angels offense has been a disappointment this year, but their career numbers against Derek Holland are terrific. In 119 and 1/3 career innings against the Angels, Holland has a 5.88 ERA. Texas' bullpen is arguably the worst in all of baseball. There should be plenty of scoring chances in this one.

The over is 4-0-1 in the Rangers last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The over is 5-0-1 in Holland's last 6 Saturday starts. The over is 7-0 in the Angels last 7 vs. a pitcher with a WHIP of 1.15 or lower. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 home games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 with a total of 7 to 8.5. The over is 4-0 in Holland's last 4 starts vs. the Angels. The over is 5-0 in home plate umpire Marty Foster's last 5 games behind the plate in a game involving the Angels. A 33-0 angle. Take the over.

*4 Star MLB Run Line ROUT* The Baltimore Orioles have played some really bad baseball in recent weeks. It's hard to expect things to go any better on Sunday for them as they have Chris Tillman on the mound up again a fantastic Toronto Blue Jays offense. To say that Tillman has been bad against the Blue Jays is a big understatement. In 18 career starts, he has a 5.68 ERA. He has faced them four times this year, and he has a whopping 15.00 ERA in those four starts. Marco Estrada has been a nice surprise for Toronto and I think he'll get the run support he needs. Take Toronto -1.5.

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle CRUSHER* The Cincinnati Reds and Milwaukee Brewers have had some really high scoring games this year. These are two teams with questionable rotations and bullpens that are taxed right now. The ball is really flying well at Great American Ballpark with a temperature around 90 degrees in Cincinnati. We have a favorable umpire for this one and two pitchers with plenty of blowup potential. I was surprised to be able to get this price in this matchup.

The over is 7-0-1 in the Brewers last 8 road games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more last game. The over is 4-0-1 in their last 5 road games vs. a righty. The over is 7-0-2 in their last 9 following a win. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 vs. the NL Central. The over is 5-0-1 in their last 6 road games with a total of 7 to 8.5. The over is 4-0-1 in Jimmy Nelson's last 5 starts vs. the NL Central. The over is 8-0 in the Reds last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 4-0 in the Reds last 4 following a loss. A 52-0 angle. Take the over.

*5 Star MLB TOP Play of the Week* The Washington Nationals have finally started playing much better baseball. It may be too late in the end, but they are only 5 games back of the Mets and much stranger things have happened. Atlanta is playing awful baseball right now. I was low on them to start the year and they surprised me by hovering around .500. Now they have completely tanked and they appear to have packed it in for the season. Atlanta has now lost 11 straight games, and they are 12-40 in their last 52 games. In their 11 game losing streak, they have lost all 11 games by at least two runs! Joe Ross is a good prospect who has been sharp at home this year. Take Washington -1.5 big! MLB TOP Play of the Week

*4 Star MLB Major MISMATCH* The Houston Astros have been a terrific bet with Dallas Keuchel on the mound at home this year. Keuchel is absolutely dominating hitters at home, and this Twins offense doesn't typically step up against the top pitchers in baseball. Duffey is a decent prospect, but he has been shaky away from home, and Houston is a great team at home this year. At essentially even money, I like the run line. Take Houston -1.5.

*3 Star MLB Sunday Night Baseball CASH* The St. Louis Cardinals have been a terrific under team all year. St. Louis has a great starting staff and a very good bullpen. John Lackey is very underrated at this stage of his career. He has been lights out when pitching at Busch Stadium. Pittsburgh's Gerrit Cole is a pitcher I really like, and he's facing a Cardinals lineup that is without several of their best hitters. I see this one as a 2-1 or 3-2 type of pitching duel. Take the under in this Sunday night contest.